North Florida
W-L: (30-25) PR = 93.4616Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Sacred Heart MAAC ( 2- 6, 87.3) 2- 7 214 H Sacred Heart MAAC ( 2- 6, 87.3) 16- 3 215 H Sacred Heart MAAC ( 2- 6, 87.3) 12- 2 217 A Florida SEC (43-21, 98.3) 4-12 218 H Georgia SEC (52-14, 98.9) 15-12 220 A Stonehill NE F.l ( 0- 3, 88.1) 10- 0 221 H Quinnipiac MAAC ( 3- 4, 91.7) 3- 6 221 H Quinnipiac MAAC ( 3- 4, 91.7) 5- 4 224 H South Carolina Upstate BSO (14-15, 95.0) 3- 7 225 A Florida State ACC (36-22, 97.0) 9-14 227 H Presbyterian BSO ( 0-14, 89.9) 15- 6 228 H Presbyterian BSO ( 0-14, 89.9) 12-11 301 A Dartmouth IVY ( 1- 2, 89.3) 12- 0 304 A Florida A&M SWAC ( 7- 5, 90.7) 0- 5 306 H Oregon State WC (42-16, 96.3) 2- 4 307 A Alabama SEC (42-20, 97.1) 3- 9 308 A Alabama SEC (42-20, 97.1) 2-12 310 H Bethune-Cookman SWAC ( 8-10, 91.7) 4- 7 313 A Stetson AS (20-34, 92.8) 2- 7 314 A Stetson AS (20-34, 92.8) 12- 1 315 A Stetson AS (20-34, 92.8) 4- 1 317 A Charleston Southern BSO ( 9- 9, 93.4) 6-11 320 H Florida Gulf Coast AS (35-21, 94.1) 5- 4 321 A Eastern Kentucky AS (17-34, 91.2) 7- 5 322 H Florida Gulf Coast AS (35-21, 94.1) 6- 4 327 A Jacksonville AS (29-23, 93.6) 4- 2 328 A Jacksonville AS (29-23, 93.6) 11- 4 329 A Jacksonville AS (29-23, 93.6) 12- 6 331 H Georgia Southern SB (16-40, 91.9) 2- 3 402 H Queens University AS (15-39, 89.8) 3- 7 403 H Queens University AS (15-39, 89.8) 5- 2 404 H Queens University AS (15-39, 89.8) 10- 6 410 H Stetson AS (20-34, 92.8) 7- 0 411 A West Georgia AS (15-39, 91.1) 5- 3 412 A West Georgia AS (15-39, 91.1) 2- 7 414 H Florida A&M SWAC ( 7- 5, 90.7) 11- 2 417 H Stetson AS (20-34, 92.8) 3- 1 418 H Stetson AS (20-34, 92.8) 2- 1 419 H Stetson AS (20-34, 92.8) 3- 7 421 H Florida State ACC (36-22, 97.0) 1- 4 424 A Florida Gulf Coast AS (35-21, 94.1) 5- 3 425 A Florida Gulf Coast AS (35-21, 94.1) 3- 5 426 A Florida Gulf Coast AS (35-21, 94.1) 3-13 501 H Jacksonville AS (29-23, 93.6) 5- 4 502 H Jacksonville AS (29-23, 93.6) 3- 4 503 H Jacksonville AS (29-23, 93.6) 10- 0 505 A Florida SEC (43-21, 98.3) 1-11 508 A Queens University AS (15-39, 89.8) 10- 6 509 A Queens University AS (15-39, 89.8) 3- 4 510 A Queens University AS (15-39, 89.8) 12- 1 514 A Western Kentucky CUSA (28-27, 94.4) 6- 3 515 A Missouri State CUSA (35-19, 96.3) 4- 5 516 H West Georgia AS (15-39, 91.1) 5- 1 521 H North Alabama AS (30-29, 93.4) 4-11 522 H Florida Gulf Coast AS (35-21, 94.1) 1- 3
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Sacred Heart 2- 7 -5 7 --- -11.85
214 H Sacred Heart 16- 3 13 7 +++ 6.15
215 H Sacred Heart 12- 2 10 7 + 3.15
217 A Florida 4-12 -8 -5 - -2.52
218 H Georgia 15-12 3 -5 +++ 7.81
220 A Stonehill 10- 0 10 5 ++ 5.30
221 H Quinnipiac 3- 6 -3 2 -- -5.43
221 H Quinnipiac 5- 4 1 2 -1.43
224 H South Carolina Upstate 3- 7 -4 -1 - -3.17
225 A Florida State 9-14 -5 -4 -0.80
227 H Presbyterian 15- 6 9 4 ++ 4.76
228 H Presbyterian 12-11 1 4 - -3.24
301 A Dartmouth 12- 0 12 4 +++ 8.50
304 A Florida A&M 0- 5 -5 2 --- -7.09
306 H Oregon State 2- 4 -2 -2 0.14
307 A Alabama 3- 9 -6 -4 -1.71
308 A Alabama 2-12 -10 -4 -- -5.71
310 H Bethune-Cookman 4- 7 -3 2 -- -5.47
313 A Stetson 2- 7 -5 0 -- -5.02
314 A Stetson 12- 1 11 0 +++ 10.98
315 A Stetson 4- 1 3 0 + 2.98
317 A Charleston Southern 6-11 -5 -1 -- -4.41
320 H Florida Gulf Coast 5- 4 1 0 0.93
321 A Eastern Kentucky 7- 5 2 2 0.43
322 H Florida Gulf Coast 6- 4 2 0 1.93
327 A Jacksonville 4- 2 2 -1 + 2.85
328 A Jacksonville 11- 4 7 -1 +++ 7.85
329 A Jacksonville 12- 6 6 -1 +++ 6.85
331 H Georgia Southern 2- 3 -1 2 - -3.23
402 H Queens University 3- 7 -4 4 --- -8.36
403 H Queens University 5- 2 3 4 -1.36
404 H Queens University 10- 6 4 4 -0.36
410 H Stetson 7- 0 7 1 ++ 5.63
411 A West Georgia 5- 3 2 2 0.29
412 A West Georgia 2- 7 -5 2 --- -6.71
414 H Florida A&M 11- 2 9 3 ++ 5.56
417 H Stetson 3- 1 2 1 0.63
418 H Stetson 2- 1 1 1 -0.37
419 H Stetson 3- 7 -4 1 -- -5.37
421 H Florida State 1- 4 -3 -3 -0.15
424 A Florida Gulf Coast 5- 3 2 -1 + 3.28
425 A Florida Gulf Coast 3- 5 -2 -1 -0.72
426 A Florida Gulf Coast 3-13 -10 -1 --- -8.72
501 H Jacksonville 5- 4 1 0 0.50
502 H Jacksonville 3- 4 -1 0 -1.50
503 H Jacksonville 10- 0 10 0 +++ 9.50
505 A Florida 1-11 -10 -5 -- -4.52
508 A Queens University 10- 6 4 3 0.99
509 A Queens University 3- 4 -1 3 -- -4.01
510 A Queens University 12- 1 11 3 +++ 7.99
514 A Western Kentucky 6- 3 3 -2 ++ 4.57
515 A Missouri State 4- 5 -1 -4 + 2.52
516 H West Georgia 5- 1 4 3 0.94
521 H North Alabama 4-11 -7 1 --- -7.74
522 H Florida Gulf Coast 1- 3 -2 0 - -2.07
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 H Sacred Heart 2- 7 -5 7 --- -11.85 304 A Florida A&M 0- 5 -5 2 --- -7.09 402 H Queens University 3- 7 -4 4 --- -8.36 412 A West Georgia 2- 7 -5 2 --- -6.71 426 A Florida Gulf Coast 3-13 -10 -1 --- -8.72 521 H North Alabama 4-11 -7 1 --- -7.74 221 H Quinnipiac 3- 6 -3 2 -- -5.43 308 A Alabama 2-12 -10 -4 -- -5.71 310 H Bethune-Cookman 4- 7 -3 2 -- -5.47 313 A Stetson 2- 7 -5 0 -- -5.02 317 A Charleston Southern 6-11 -5 -1 -- -4.41 419 H Stetson 3- 7 -4 1 -- -5.37 505 A Florida 1-11 -10 -5 -- -4.52 509 A Queens University 3- 4 -1 3 -- -4.01 217 A Florida 4-12 -8 -5 - -2.52 224 H South Carolina Upstate 3- 7 -4 -1 - -3.17 228 H Presbyterian 12-11 1 4 - -3.24 331 H Georgia Southern 2- 3 -1 2 - -3.23 522 H Florida Gulf Coast 1- 3 -2 0 - -2.07 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 H Sacred Heart 16- 3 13 7 +++ 6.15 218 H Georgia 15-12 3 -5 +++ 7.81 301 A Dartmouth 12- 0 12 4 +++ 8.50 314 A Stetson 12- 1 11 0 +++ 10.98 328 A Jacksonville 11- 4 7 -1 +++ 7.85 329 A Jacksonville 12- 6 6 -1 +++ 6.85 503 H Jacksonville 10- 0 10 0 +++ 9.50 510 A Queens University 12- 1 11 3 +++ 7.99 220 A Stonehill 10- 0 10 5 ++ 5.30 227 H Presbyterian 15- 6 9 4 ++ 4.76 410 H Stetson 7- 0 7 1 ++ 5.63 414 H Florida A&M 11- 2 9 3 ++ 5.56 514 A Western Kentucky 6- 3 3 -2 ++ 4.57 215 H Sacred Heart 12- 2 10 7 + 3.15 315 A Stetson 4- 1 3 0 + 2.98 327 A Jacksonville 4- 2 2 -1 + 2.85 424 A Florida Gulf Coast 5- 3 2 -1 + 3.28 515 A Missouri State 4- 5 -1 -4 + 2.52 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Sacred Heart ( 2- 6, 87.3) 2- 7 -12.61 5.82 -0.68 0.53 -3.49
3 H Sacred Heart ( 2- 6, 87.3) 16- 3 -12.61 5.82 -0.68 0.53 5.41
3 H Sacred Heart ( 2- 6, 87.3) 12- 2 -12.61 5.82 -0.68 0.53 5.41
3 A Florida (43-21, 98.3) 4-12 -1.63 16.79 0.68 0.53 -0.25
3 H Georgia (52-14, 98.9) 15-12 -0.95 17.47 -0.68 0.53 17.66
3 A Stonehill ( 0- 3, 88.1) 10- 0 -11.81 6.62 0.68 0.53 7.67
3 H Quinnipiac ( 3- 4, 91.7) 3- 6 -8.19 10.23 -0.68 0.53 -2.33
3 H Quinnipiac ( 3- 4, 91.7) 5- 4 -8.19 10.23 -0.68 0.53 10.05
3 H South Carolina (14-15, 95.0) 3- 7 -4.93 13.50 -0.68 0.53 -1.47
3 A Florida State (36-22, 97.0) 9-14 -2.92 15.51 0.68 0.53 -0.59
3 H Presbyterian ( 0-14, 89.9) 15- 6 -10.00 8.42 -0.68 0.53 8.15
3 H Presbyterian ( 0-14, 89.9) 12-11 -10.00 8.42 -0.68 0.53 8.15
3 A Dartmouth ( 1- 2, 89.3) 12- 0 -10.62 7.81 0.68 0.53 8.92
3 A Florida A&M ( 7- 5, 90.7) 0- 5 -9.20 9.23 0.68 0.53 -2.24
3 H Oregon State (42-16, 96.3) 2- 4 -3.62 14.80 -0.68 0.53 -1.13
3 A Alabama (42-20, 97.1) 3- 9 -2.82 15.61 0.68 0.53 -0.56
3 A Alabama (42-20, 97.1) 2-12 -2.82 15.61 0.68 0.53 -0.56
3 H Bethune-Cookma ( 8-10, 91.7) 4- 7 -8.23 10.20 -0.68 0.53 -2.34
3 A Stetson (20-34, 92.8) 2- 7 -7.14 11.29 0.68 0.53 -1.70
3 A Stetson (20-34, 92.8) 12- 1 -7.14 11.29 0.68 0.53 12.58
3 A Stetson (20-34, 92.8) 4- 1 -7.14 11.29 0.68 0.53 12.58
3 A Charleston Sou ( 9- 9, 93.4) 6-11 -6.52 11.91 0.68 0.53 -1.54
3 H Florida Gulf C (35-21, 94.1) 5- 4 -5.83 12.59 -0.68 0.53 12.53
3 A Eastern Kentuc (17-34, 91.2) 7- 5 -8.69 9.74 0.68 0.53 10.95
3 H Florida Gulf C (35-21, 94.1) 6- 4 -5.83 12.59 -0.68 0.53 12.53
3 A Jacksonville (29-23, 93.6) 4- 2 -6.26 12.17 0.68 0.53 13.51
3 A Jacksonville (29-23, 93.6) 11- 4 -6.26 12.17 0.68 0.53 13.51
3 A Jacksonville (29-23, 93.6) 12- 6 -6.26 12.17 0.68 0.53 13.51
3 H Georgia Southe (16-40, 91.9) 2- 3 -7.99 10.43 -0.68 0.53 -2.28
3 H Queens Univers (15-39, 89.8) 3- 7 -10.12 8.30 -0.68 0.53 -2.84
3 H Queens Univers (15-39, 89.8) 5- 2 -10.12 8.30 -0.68 0.53 8.02
3 H Queens Univers (15-39, 89.8) 10- 6 -10.12 8.30 -0.68 0.53 8.02
3 H Stetson (20-34, 92.8) 7- 0 -7.14 11.29 -0.68 0.53 11.16
3 A West Georgia (15-39, 91.1) 5- 3 -8.82 9.60 0.68 0.53 10.81
3 A West Georgia (15-39, 91.1) 2- 7 -8.82 9.60 0.68 0.53 -2.14
3 H Florida A&M ( 7- 5, 90.7) 11- 2 -9.20 9.23 -0.68 0.53 8.99
3 H Stetson (20-34, 92.8) 3- 1 -7.14 11.29 -0.68 0.53 11.16
3 H Stetson (20-34, 92.8) 2- 1 -7.14 11.29 -0.68 0.53 11.16
3 H Stetson (20-34, 92.8) 3- 7 -7.14 11.29 -0.68 0.53 -2.05
3 H Florida State (36-22, 97.0) 1- 4 -2.92 15.51 -0.68 0.53 -0.94
3 A Florida Gulf C (35-21, 94.1) 5- 3 -5.83 12.59 0.68 0.53 13.95
3 A Florida Gulf C (35-21, 94.1) 3- 5 -5.83 12.59 0.68 0.53 -1.36
3 A Florida Gulf C (35-21, 94.1) 3-13 -5.83 12.59 0.68 0.53 -1.36
3 H Jacksonville (29-23, 93.6) 5- 4 -6.26 12.17 -0.68 0.53 12.08
3 H Jacksonville (29-23, 93.6) 3- 4 -6.26 12.17 -0.68 0.53 -1.82
3 H Jacksonville (29-23, 93.6) 10- 0 -6.26 12.17 -0.68 0.53 12.08
3 A Florida (43-21, 98.3) 1-11 -1.63 16.79 0.68 0.53 -0.25
3 A Queens Univers (15-39, 89.8) 10- 6 -10.12 8.30 0.68 0.53 9.44
3 A Queens Univers (15-39, 89.8) 3- 4 -10.12 8.30 0.68 0.53 -2.48
3 A Queens Univers (15-39, 89.8) 12- 1 -10.12 8.30 0.68 0.53 9.44
3 A Western Kentuc (28-27, 94.4) 6- 3 -5.55 12.88 0.68 0.53 14.26
3 A Missouri State (35-19, 96.3) 4- 5 -3.59 14.83 0.68 0.53 -0.77
3 H West Georgia (15-39, 91.1) 5- 1 -8.82 9.60 -0.68 0.53 9.39
3 H North Alabama (30-29, 93.4) 4-11 -6.50 11.93 -0.68 0.53 -1.89
3 H Florida Gulf C (35-21, 94.1) 1- 3 -5.83 12.59 -0.68 0.53 -1.71
------
283.00
|
winning pts = 323.1056 losing points = -40.1089
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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